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In a random experiment, a fair die is ro...

In a random experiment, a fair die is rolled until two fours are obtained in succession.The probability that the experiment will end in the fifth throw of the die is equal to

A

`(150)/(6^(5))`

B

`(175)/(6^(5))`

C

`(200)/(6^(5))`

D

`(225)/(6^(5))`

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The correct Answer is:
To find the probability that the experiment will end in the fifth throw of the die when rolling a fair die until two consecutive fours are obtained, we can break down the problem as follows: ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Understanding the Problem**: We need to determine the conditions under which the experiment ends on the fifth throw. This means that the fifth throw must be a four, and the fourth throw must also be a four. The first three throws must not result in two consecutive fours. 2. **Possible Outcomes**: The only way for the experiment to end on the fifth throw is if the outcomes of the first four throws are such that: - The fourth throw is a four (4). - The fifth throw is also a four (4). - The first three throws must not contain two consecutive fours. 3. **Identifying Valid Sequences**: The valid sequences for the first three throws can be: - Any combination of numbers from {1, 2, 3, 5, 6} (not a four) and one four (but not consecutive). - The valid patterns for the first three throws can be: - Non-four, Non-four, Non-four (NNN) - Non-four, Non-four, Four (NN4) - Non-four, Four, Non-four (N4N) - Four, Non-four, Non-four (4NN) 4. **Calculating Probabilities**: - The probability of rolling a non-four (1, 2, 3, 5, or 6) is \( \frac{5}{6} \). - The probability of rolling a four is \( \frac{1}{6} \). 5. **Calculating the Probability for Each Pattern**: - For the first three throws being non-fours: - Probability = \( \left( \frac{5}{6} \right)^3 \) - For the fourth and fifth throws being fours: - Probability = \( \left( \frac{1}{6} \right)^2 \) 6. **Combining the Probabilities**: The total probability that the experiment ends on the fifth throw can be calculated as: \[ P(\text{ending on 5th throw}) = P(\text{first three throws}) \times P(\text{fourth throw}) \times P(\text{fifth throw}) \] \[ = \left( \frac{5}{6} \right)^3 \times \left( \frac{1}{6} \right) \times \left( \frac{1}{6} \right) \] 7. **Calculating the Final Probability**: \[ = \left( \frac{5}{6} \right)^3 \times \left( \frac{1}{6} \right)^2 \] \[ = \frac{125}{216} \times \frac{1}{36} \] \[ = \frac{125}{1296} \] ### Final Answer: The probability that the experiment will end in the fifth throw of the die is \( \frac{125}{1296} \).
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