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Given three identical Boxes A, B and C, ...

Given three identical Boxes A, B and C, Box A contains 2 gold and 1 silver coins, Box B contains 1 gold and 2 silver coins and Box C contains 3 silver coins. A person chooses a Box at random and takes out a coin. If the coin drawn is of silver, find the probability that it has been drawn from the Box which has the remaining two coins also of silver.

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To solve the problem, we need to find the probability that a silver coin drawn came from Box C, which contains only silver coins, given that a silver coin was drawn. We can use Bayes' theorem to find this probability. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Identify the Boxes and Their Contents:** - Box A: 2 Gold coins, 1 Silver coin - Box B: 1 Gold coin, 2 Silver coins - Box C: 0 Gold coins, 3 Silver coins 2. **Calculate the Total Probability of Drawing a Silver Coin (P(S)):** - Probability of choosing any box (P(A), P(B), P(C)) = 1/3 - Probability of drawing a silver coin from each box: - From Box A: P(S|A) = 1/3 (1 silver out of 3 total coins) - From Box B: P(S|B) = 2/3 (2 silver out of 3 total coins) - From Box C: P(S|C) = 3/3 = 1 (3 silver out of 3 total coins) Now, we calculate the total probability of drawing a silver coin: \[ P(S) = P(A) \cdot P(S|A) + P(B) \cdot P(S|B) + P(C) \cdot P(S|C) \] \[ P(S) = \frac{1}{3} \cdot \frac{1}{3} + \frac{1}{3} \cdot \frac{2}{3} + \frac{1}{3} \cdot 1 \] \[ P(S) = \frac{1}{9} + \frac{2}{9} + \frac{3}{9} = \frac{6}{9} = \frac{2}{3} \] 3. **Calculate the Probability of Drawing from Box C Given a Silver Coin (P(C|S)):** Using Bayes' theorem: \[ P(C|S) = \frac{P(C) \cdot P(S|C)}{P(S)} \] Substituting the values: \[ P(C|S) = \frac{\frac{1}{3} \cdot 1}{\frac{2}{3}} = \frac{1/3}{2/3} = \frac{1}{2} \] 4. **Conclusion:** The probability that the silver coin drawn came from Box C, which contains only silver coins, is \( \frac{1}{2} \).
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