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An urn contains 6 white and 9 black ball...

An urn contains 6 white and 9 black balls. Two successive draws of 4 balls are made without replacement The probability that the first draw gives all white balls and second draw gives all black balls is

A

`2/335`

B

`1/495`

C

`5/812`

D

`3/715`

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find the probability of two successive draws from an urn containing 6 white and 9 black balls. The first draw consists of 4 balls, all of which must be white, and the second draw also consists of 4 balls, all of which must be black. ### Step-by-step Solution: 1. **Identify the Total Number of Balls**: - Total white balls = 6 - Total black balls = 9 - Total balls = 6 + 9 = 15 2. **Calculate the Probability of Drawing 4 White Balls in the First Draw**: - The number of ways to choose 4 white balls from 6 is given by the combination formula \( \binom{n}{r} \), which is \( \binom{6}{4} \). - The total number of ways to choose any 4 balls from 15 is \( \binom{15}{4} \). - Therefore, the probability \( P(A) \) of drawing 4 white balls is: \[ P(A) = \frac{\binom{6}{4}}{\binom{15}{4}} \] 3. **Calculate \( \binom{6}{4} \) and \( \binom{15}{4} \)**: - \( \binom{6}{4} = \frac{6!}{4!(6-4)!} = \frac{6 \times 5}{2 \times 1} = 15 \) - \( \binom{15}{4} = \frac{15!}{4!(15-4)!} = \frac{15 \times 14 \times 13 \times 12}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 1365 \) 4. **Calculate \( P(A) \)**: \[ P(A) = \frac{15}{1365} = \frac{1}{91} \] 5. **Calculate the Probability of Drawing 4 Black Balls in the Second Draw**: - After drawing 4 white balls, the remaining balls are: - White balls = 6 - 4 = 2 - Black balls = 9 - Total remaining balls = 2 + 9 = 11 - The number of ways to choose 4 black balls from 9 is \( \binom{9}{4} \). - The total number of ways to choose any 4 balls from the remaining 11 is \( \binom{11}{4} \). - Therefore, the probability \( P(B|A) \) of drawing 4 black balls after having drawn 4 white balls is: \[ P(B|A) = \frac{\binom{9}{4}}{\binom{11}{4}} \] 6. **Calculate \( \binom{9}{4} \) and \( \binom{11}{4} \)**: - \( \binom{9}{4} = \frac{9!}{4!(9-4)!} = \frac{9 \times 8 \times 7 \times 6}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 126 \) - \( \binom{11}{4} = \frac{11!}{4!(11-4)!} = \frac{11 \times 10 \times 9 \times 8}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 330 \) 7. **Calculate \( P(B|A) \)**: \[ P(B|A) = \frac{126}{330} = \frac{21}{55} \] 8. **Calculate the Combined Probability**: - The combined probability of both events occurring is given by: \[ P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B|A) = \frac{1}{91} \times \frac{21}{55} \] - Simplifying this gives: \[ P(A \cap B) = \frac{21}{5005} = \frac{3}{715} \] ### Final Answer: The probability that the first draw gives all white balls and the second draw gives all black balls is \( \frac{3}{715} \).
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